Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Jill Stein and Joe Biden were all on the campaign trails in swing states Monday night.
But none of them could make it to Florida, a key battleground state in the presidential election that is expected to decide the winner.
Democrats are hoping to keep Trump from taking Florida in November, but Trump is currently the prohibitive favorite in the state, which is a crucial swing state because it votes on November 6.
“It’s a tremendous, historic swing state, a great place for Trump to win it,” said Democratic strategist David Wasserman.
A new poll conducted by Fox News/Marist shows Clinton with a 14-point lead over Trump in Florida, while Trump leads by four points among likely voters.
It’s the first poll in the country to show a two-way race.
Clinton, who is the front-runner in the race for the Democratic nomination, has a large lead in national polls, and a poll of battleground state voters released Sunday by the Palm Beach Post showed her leading Trump by a 50-43 margin.
Trump, who has yet to concede the election, has not released a formal concession speech.
He has vowed to win Florida in the November election, even if he loses the presidency.
Wasserman said Florida is not a swing state that can be easily manipulated by either party.
The only way for either party to gain from Florida, he said, is if they can make it a twofer.
Florida is not an easy state to predict, said Wasserman, who worked on Mitt Romney’s presidential bid.
“If you’re going to be the nominee in November it needs to be something that will be easy to predict,” he said.
The race is very close in most of the battleground states.
Trump leads Clinton by five points in Ohio, by nine points in Pennsylvania, by seven points in Michigan, and by three points in Wisconsin.
Florida is one of the few states that is relatively close.
It was just one of two swing states in which Clinton held a lead over Sanders in a CNN/ORC poll released Sunday.
In Florida, the race is also close in the heavily Hispanic part of the state.
Clinton leads Sanders by 10 points among Hispanic voters in a Fox News poll released Monday, while Sanders has a lead of seven points among white voters.
Trump and Biden have made the race a test of their ability to handle the media.
Trump has a reputation for being a media bully, and his campaign has been attacked by journalists for being selective in its use of Twitter to attack the candidates.
There is no polling available in Florida to show whether Trump has the advantage in the swing state.
Florida polls average among the national average, but Wasserman said his model projects the state will vote about 50% more Republican than it did in 2016.
This is a very close race,” he added.
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